EPI is left with pupil exits that it says cannot be easily explained by the available data. For the 2017 cohort, there were 55,000 such “unexplained” moves. Off-rolling – and whether a move is genuinely for the good of a pupil – is hugely contentious. The reason it is able to happen at all is because it is so hard to prove.
This study considers unexplained pupil moves that have taken place both between schools, and those involving pupils leaving the school system entirely. The research is the most comprehensive to date examining unexplained pupil exits in the school system. For the first time, it takes into account pupils removed from school rolls due to family reasons.